A lot of big games coming up this week, so far for the season I am 22-16 against the spread.
No. 7 Stanford vs. No. 10 Washington
When: Friday, Sept. 30, 9 p.m. ET (ESPN)
The Line: Washington (-2.5)
Washington’s nonconference slate hardly could’ve been easier, and the upstart team needed overtime to beat Arizona on the road. Stanford, meanwhile, has encountered one of the toughest schedules in the Football Bowl Subdivision, so far this year.
Whichever offense controls the ground will earn the upper hand. Which would seem to favor Stanford who limited USC and UCLA to a combined 3.3 yards per carry, and Arizona exposed a weakness in the Huskies’ run defense.
Washington hasn’t been in a big game like this in years, the huskies stadium will be rocking. I think this game will be close, mainly because of the home field advantage. In the end Christian Mccaffrey will be too much for the Huskies.
No. 8 Wisconsin vs. No. 4 Michigan
When: Saturday, Oct. 1, 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
The Line: Michigan (-10.5)
This was supposed to be a rebuilding year for Wisconsin, it’s not! The Badgers surprised people by beating LSU and then going on the road and dismantling Michigan State.
Save for one quarter against Colorado, Michigan has been dominant in 2016. Opponents have struggled to run the ball between the tackles, so that’s not a promising sign for Wisconsin. But the Wolverines pass rush and secondary are quite possible the best in the nation. Michigan wins a close game.
No. 22 Texas vs. Oklahoma State
When: Saturday, Oct. 1, noon ET (ABC)
The Line: Oklahoma State (-2.5)
First off if you are beating take the over, no matter what it is. Cowboys quarterback Mason Rudolph has impressive numbers, but consistent accuracy—are real problems for him in 2016. Plus, Oklahoma State’s pass defense is dreadful.
Texas defense is not much better. Quarterback Shane Buechele missed a portion of Texas’ game against Cal, but Jeff Howe of 247Sports notes the freshman said he’s ready for the Pokes. This will be a close game and I will lean towards the Cowboys.
Prediction: Oklahoma State (-2.5)
No. 14 Miami vs. Georgia Tech
When: Saturday, Oct. 1, noon ET (ESPN2)
The Line: Miami (-7)
Georgia Tech’s option attack gives a lot of teams trouble, I just think the Canes are far superior talent wise.
Prediction: Canes (-7)
No. 11 Tennessee vs. No. 25 Georgia
When: Saturday, Oct. 1, 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS)
The Line: Tennessee (-3.5)
Georgia will be motivated to forget an embarrassing 45-14 loss to Ole Miss, but Tennessee will extend its winning streak to 11.
Prediction: Tennessee (-3.5)
North Carolina vs. No. 12 Florida State
When: Saturday, Oct. 1, 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)
The Line: Florida State (-11)
The Tar Heels have allowed a 100-yard rusher to each opponent this season. However, they’re 3-1 because of a dynamic offense. Especially since safety Derwin James’ knee injury, the ‘Noles have struggled mightily on that side of the ball.
I think the Noles win the game, but the Tar Heels will keep it close.
Prediction: North Carolina (+11)
Memphis vs. No. 16 Ole Miss
When: Saturday, Oct. 1, 7 p.m. ET
The Line: Ole Miss (-14.5)
Ole Miss learned last year not to overlook the Tigers as they got upset by Paxton Lynch. So far this year Paxton Lynch’s successor, Riley Ferguson, accounted for seven touchdowns during a 77-3 thrashing of Bowling Green last week. That firepower won’t allow for a complete blowout, but QB Chad Kelly and the Rebels will build an early lead and slowly pull away.
Prediction: Ole Miss(-14.5)
No. 3 Louisville vs. No. 5 Clemson
When: Saturday, Oct. 1, 8 p.m. ET (ABC)
The Line: Louisville (-2)
Before the season, the Tigers figured to present the better quarterback and more explosive offense in this important ACC game. Louisville had an underrated unit, but matching Deshaun Watson and Clemson seemed like wishful thinking. Not anymore. Lamar Jackson Louisville’s dynamic freshman QB has changed all of that. This is a toss up.
Prediction: Louisville (-2)
OTHER GAMES TO WATCH
Rutgers vs. No. 2 Ohio State (-38.5)
No contest, Ohio State by more than 40 points for the third time this year.
Prediction: Ohio State (-38-5)
No. 23 Florida (-10) vs. Vanderbilt
I will take Florida by double digits in a tough defensive battle that the Gators break open in second half.
Illinois vs. No. 15 Nebraska (-21)
Lovie Smith is having a rough time getting Illinois started and it is not going to begin this weekend.
Kentucky vs. No. 1 Alabama (-35)
This is not basketball, so the Cats have no chance as the Tide Rolls.