DFS Plays of the Week
Alex Smith – KC @ NYG – $6700
HOT TAKE – 3rd ranked QB vs the defense that gives up the most points to QBs is a good play in fantasy. The Gaints haven’t given up less than 16 to opposing QBs since week 3. The last 3 QBs to play against the Giants Wilson, Goff, and Beathard have scored 26, 28, and 25 respectively. The key there is that even up big Wilson and Goff has great scoring, and that even Beathard was able to score 25. Smith is definitely worth 6700 considering he’ll score 20 at a minimum and should easily top that.
Blake Bortles – JAX @ CLE – $5200
This is my risk play this week. He’s actually not that big of a risk, Bortles has put up 14, 20, 16, and 18 recent weeks. The browns are one of the best run defenses in the league in YPC, meaning that if the Jags want to move the ball down the field it’ll have to involve throwing the ball. I expect about 20 from Bortles, and that’s a solid points total for his cost. Obviously, start Bortles at your own risk he has been known to throw a few picks but he’s good for some volume recently. Stack him with Marquise Lee if he plays.
A lot of the big name RBs this week have solid matchups. The top tier of RBs is a gamble this week, but there are some high volume cheap options to supplement your gamble.
Isaiah Crowell – CLE vs JAX – $4100
Crowell has scored double digits in each of the last 3 weeks. The volume for Crowell of of 15 or so carries a game gives him a solid opportunity against a Jags defense that doesn’t give up anything to the pass, but gives up bunches to RBs. They gave up 38.3 to the combination of Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler last week. The Browns get Corey Coleman back this week, but that’s not gonna solve their passing woes. The Browns offense will have to revolve around the run, so starting Crowell or Duke Johnson Jr. look like good value for their cost this week in DFS.
Chris Thompson – WAS @ NO – $5400
If there’s anything we know about the Saints it’s not to start #1 WRs against them and that their run game will put up points. Well the Redskins have been a pretty solid offense all season even without any particularly strong WR options. That leaves most of their offensive touches to TEs and RBs, Thompson has been that RB to get the catches. He has a reasonable floor in PPR because of his target share, but this week looks good as he will get some more carries with Rob Kelley injured and Perine mostly ineffective. Thompson isn’t going to have the highest ceiling this week, but he should be able to put together a good number of yards on about 6-8 catches and 10-15 carries. That touch total could translate into a long TD as we’ve seen him capable of doing.
Michael Thomas – NO vs WAS – $7400
While he may not totally be worth the cost here based on his season long scoring, most of that deficit is owed to the fact that he hasn’t managed to haul in more than 2 TDs on the year. Even without the TDs he’s averaging 15 PPG and eventually the 10 targets a game will turn into TDs. The Redskins aren’t a great team to start WRs against, but Josh Norman sticks to one side so Thomas could go nuts on the other side. He could have an enormous week at any time. He’s due.
Michael Crabtree – OAK vs NE – $5900
Crabtree has been the Oakland touchdown machine this season with 6 through 8 games. The Pats haven’t been good against the pass this year at all, and Derek Carr has been putting together some solid weeks recently. This game has the makings of a shootout. Crabtree, Cooper, Jared Cook, and Brandin Cooks all look like startable receiving options in this game. (Cooks possibly missing Hogan should see more targets). Replace Crabtree with Cooper and run identical lineups otherwise because one of these two is bound to have a day.
Jamison Crowder – WAS @ NO – $4300
So we know not to start #1 WRs vs the Saints, but Crowder plays out of the slot. The Saints slot corner Kenny Vaccaro is a converted safety and looks a little bit too big at 214lbs to cover the small shifty Crowder over the middle. Crowder has looked like a disappointment all season, so much so that he was available on waivers in most leagues a few weeks ago. Crowder has had 25 and 12 point games in the last 2 weeks so it seems his role in the offense is growing. He should have a reasonable floor as the Redskins avoid throwing at Lattimore and try to keep pace with the Saints offense.
Vernon Davis – WAS @ NO – $4600
If you’ve noticed a theme, I like anyone on the Redskins that won’t be seeing much of Lattimore. The gameflow should put the Redskins in a position to need to score a lot. I wouldn’t prefer to play all of these guys in the same lineup, but like the two mentioned already Vernon Davis should see quite a few targets this week with Jordan Reed out.
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