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Sep 27, 2015; Arlington, TX, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Devonta Freeman (24) celebrates his fourth quarter touchdown with receiver Julio Jones (11) against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Colts at Jaguars (London)

I have no faith in Blake Bortles to carry the Jaguars. Andrew Luck will have his regular three-touchdown day against a secondary that has pieces such as Jalen Ramsey without an exciting scheme to showcase them.

Henry Anderson is the heart of the Colts’ defensive line last week. He’ll be instrumental in forcing the Jaguars to be just as one-dimensional in Week 4 as the Chargers had to be in Week 3.

Colts 31 Jaguars 17

 

Bills at Patriots

Expect to see Tyrod Taylor’s rushing numbers plummet back to earth. Why? Because Belichick will turn Jamie Collins into the ultimate quarterback spy. Forcing Taylor to make short accurate throws, which is Taylor’s weakness.

Patriots 27  Bills 10

 

Lions at Bears

I can see Detroit completely outclassing them in this game. A hobbled Alshon Jeffery might get jealous when he sees how the Lions free up Marvin Jones or Eric Ebron. In the end, Matthew Stafford finds those guys and Jeffery’s guy can’t. The Bears have been as bad on defense as they are on offense and I look for that to continue in this game.

Lions 34  Bears 16

 

Titans at Texans

Tennessee wants to be the tougher team, and its offensive line is a handful. But even without J.J. Watt, one side has a dominant defense. The other doesn’t. Osweiler seems to have trouble against zone defenses, but in the end the Texans are just more talented.

Texans 20  Titans 13

 

Panthers at Falcons

The pissed-off Panthers are going to come out hot after losing a game they had in Week 3. It’s almost like a desperation game for them, and they’ll play like it against Atlanta. On the other hand the Falcons have played more physically than they have in years. I will go out on a limb and pick Atlanta.

Falcons 24  Panthers 23

 

Seahawks at Jets

Russell Wilson will not fair well against the Jets pass rush if he is playing hurt.

Jets 17 Seahawks 13

 

Raiders at Ravens

Baltimore’s secondary is still suspect, and it is facing an Amari Cooper-Michael Crabtree tandem.

Joe Flacco will put his points up on a one-week wonder Raiders defense. Can Baltimore’s secondary perform when its front seven shuts the run down?

Raiders 24 Ravens 17

 

Browns at Redskins

Redskins finally got it going last week, I still think the Browns ability to run the ball will keep this a game into the 4th quarter.

Redskins 28 Browns 20

 

Rams at Cardinals

The Cardinals are not an adept pass-blocking team—an issue versus any D-line with Aaron Donald on it. Arizona’s front seven has not played well this year. I just can’t pick a team led by Case Keenum here.

Cardinals 33  Rams 20

 

Broncos at Buccaneers

The line blocking in front of Jameis Winston is a little iffy, and the line coming after him isn’t. Not good for the guys in red, white and pewter.

Broncos 31  Bucs 14

 

Cowboys at 49ers

No one can deny the Cowboys play hard on defense, though. They’re undermanned, undersized and in a scheme that doesn’t force offenses to adjust much. Yet the Cowboys are not breaking when opponents get in scoring range. Blaine Gabbert will not be able to move the ball on Dallas consistently.

Cowboys 24  49ers 9

 

Saints at Chargers

Philip Rivers will shred them slowly. Expect tons of short, precise throws that give his receivers the advantage over their backups. Then, plenty of Melvin Gordon to close everything out.

Chargers 41  Saints 27

 

Chiefs at Steelers

They’re both banged up, but K.C. is the deeper team right now. The Chiefs have a good offensive line and a balanced attack. More importantly, they possess a natural counter to Antonio Brown with Marcus Peters in their secondary.

Chiefs 26  Steelers 23

 

Giants at Vikings

I like New York’s pass defense to get back on track. Damon Harrison is a beast inside who will shut the run down. Then, the Giants will be able to take advantage of a few injured Vikings blockers and force enough Sam Bradford hurries. The Giants offense matches up well with the Vikings defense, because Manning will get rid of the ball quickly enough to neutralize the Vikings pass rush.

Giants 23  Vikings 17